Karlsruher SC vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
10º
8º
31
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KSC
4 - 1
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 0
MUN
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIJ
0 - 1
KSC
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 3
GÓR
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
VKP
2 - 0
KSC
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 0
JUV
13%
23%
65%
|
73 | 95 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BBU
1 - 2
FCN
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
FCN
32%
23%
45%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
FCN
11%
16%
73%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 13
FCN
2%
7%
91%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | 0 |