DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 4-1
Karlsruher SC vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
KSC
2 - 1
HOM
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
AUG
1 - 1
KSC
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
SCF
1 - 0
KSC
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
KSC
4 - 2
RVO
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
SGF
0 - 3
KSC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
AUG
1 - 1
KSC
33%
23%
44%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
AUG
7 - 0
FCW
93%
6%
2%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
FCH
5 - 6
AUG
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
AUG
5 - 2
FRE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
BAU
4 - 0
AUG
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |