Karlsruher SC vs SV Elversberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
8º
4º
6
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30.5% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 5
KSC
5%
11%
84%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
F95
0 - 0
KSC
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 2
FCN
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KSC
4 - 1
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 0
MUN
68%
18%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SV Elversberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 7
ELV
8%
13%
79%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ELV
2 - 2
KOL
25%
22%
53%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
ELV
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ELV
1 - 1
VIK
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ELV
1 - 3
HOF
14%
18%
67%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |