NK Karlovac 1919 vs Mladost Ždralovi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
16º
3º
9
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
9 | 60 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 57 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 51 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 50 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 48 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 47 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 42 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 42 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 28 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 26 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 46% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Karlovac 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 3
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 1
KAR
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 0
KUS
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
DUB
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
NKK
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mladost Ždralovi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MZL
1 - 2
ZAG
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KUS
2 - 0
MZL
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MZL
0 - 0
SEG
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DUG
2 - 4
MZL
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MZL
1 - 0
NKR
50%
23%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |