Karlberg vs Östersunds FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 2
STO
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HTF
0 - 1
KAL
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 2
ORE
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
7 - 0
FRA
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
BRO
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Östersunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
OST
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OST
0 - 0
OIF
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 1
OST
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OST
2 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
OST
2 - 1
DEG
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |