Karlberg vs Örebro Syrianska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
8º
27
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
53 | 66 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
55 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 64 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 25 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
7 - 0
FRA
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
BRO
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 2
KAL
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
ASS
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
IFS
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Örebro Syrianska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 2
ORE
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
HTF
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ORE
0 - 1
KAR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 2
ORE
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IFS
4 - 1
ORE
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |