Karlberg vs Stocksund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
7º
27
1º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
53 | 66 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
55 | 66 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 65 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 27 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
KAL
65%
20%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
KAL
18%
20%
62%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORE
3 - 0
KAL
51%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 1
ASS
30%
23%
47%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UME
3 - 1
KAL
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stocksund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IFS
4 - 1
ORE
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 0
IFS
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IFS
2 - 3
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
IFS
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
IFS
4 - 1
PIT
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |