Karlberg vs IFK Österåker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
8º
1º
36
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
83% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
KAL
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
GUT
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 1
ENS
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
0 - 2
KAL
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCJ
1 - 1
KAL
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Österåker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OST
2 - 1
SKI
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
OST
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GUT
2 - 3
OST
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OST
3 - 2
IFK
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OST
2 - 0
SAN
37%
22%
42%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |