Karlberg vs IFK Österåker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
8º
1º
36
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
83% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
KAL
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
GUT
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 1
ENS
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
0 - 2
KAL
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCJ
1 - 1
KAL
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Österåker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OST
2 - 1
SKI
62%
20%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
OST
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GUT
2 - 3
OST
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OST
3 - 2
IFK
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OST
2 - 0
SAN
37%
22%
42%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |