Karlberg vs Friska Viljor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
13º
11º
14
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 58 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 47 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
KAL
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
SOL
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 3
KAL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
HTF
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STO
2 - 1
KAL
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Friska Viljor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 3
ASS
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 1
FRI
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HTF
3 - 0
FRI
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 4
ASS
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
3 - 2
FRI
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |