Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
8º
23
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
53 | 66 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
55 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 64 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 25 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
IFS
0 - 1
KAL
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
TAB
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PIT
1 - 1
KAL
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 3
KAL
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
OST
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 2
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 1
KAR
26%
25%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 3
FBK
66%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
FBK
79%
14%
6%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 3
SAN
9%
15%
76%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |