Kariana Erden vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kariana Erden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LSO
2 - 0
KAR
67%
21%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 1
SEP
20%
19%
61%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 2
LOK
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NES
1 - 1
KAR
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
KAR
2 - 1
OFK
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
BGA
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
BVR
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
ARK
1 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 3
POM
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FCT
4 - 2
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |