Karelia vs Znamya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
SAT
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
DNE
3 - 1
KAR
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOK
2 - 2
KAR
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
KAR
0 - 2
DIN
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
KAR
0 - 2
PSK
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 0
ZNA
84%
11%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
ZNA
4 - 2
DIK
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +3 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ZNA
0 - 2
DVO
7%
16%
78%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
ZNA
1 - 3
SAT
14%
20%
66%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 0
ZNA
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |