Karelia vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
5º
5º
10
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
PSK
37%
25%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PSK
2 - 0
KAR
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
TOS
3 - 2
KAR
81%
14%
5%
|
24 | 59 | 35 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 0
SVZ
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
KKO
1 - 4
KAR
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SLG
3 - 2
TOS
14%
21%
64%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SVZ
2 - 3
TOS
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
TOS
3 - 4
KKO
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 16 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
TOS
3 - 2
KAR
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
PSK
0 - 0
TOS
11%
21%
69%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |