Karelia vs Leningradets Gatchina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+128%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
5º
5º
21
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVZ
2 - 1
KAR
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 0
TOS
12%
20%
67%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
PSK
37%
25%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PSK
2 - 0
KAR
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
TOS
3 - 2
KAR
81%
14%
5%
|
24 | 59 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Leningradets Gatchina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLG
2 - 1
SEV
14%
17%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SVZ
5 - 3
SLG
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SLG
3 - 2
TOS
14%
21%
64%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
SLG
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PSK
0 - 2
SLG
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |