Karelia vs FC Vologda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2013 |
KAR
1 - 1
SPA
26%
26%
48%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
ZNA
0 - 1
KAR
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
PSP
3 - 0
KAR
50%
23%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
KAR
0 - 3
LOK
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
KAR
1 - 3
DNE
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
FC Vologda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 0
FCV
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 1
FCD
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 1
VOL
33%
28%
40%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PSK
2 - 1
FCV
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
FCR
4 - 3
FCV
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |