Kärdla LM vs Navi Vutiselts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kärdla LM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
KAR
3 - 0
TAB
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
FCP
13%
18%
70%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Navi Vutiselts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
LIH
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
9 - 0
NAV
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VIS
0 - 2
NAV
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
NAV
0 - 1
RAP
28%
24%
49%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |