Karcag SE vs Diósgyőr VTK II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
9º
5º
9
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 62 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 59 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 57 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 51 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 38 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 37 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 34 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 26 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 16 |
16º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karcag SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VSE
0 - 4
KAR
21%
20%
60%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIS
1 - 0
KAR
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
6 - 2
EGE
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KMG
0 - 0
KAR
55%
21%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HEH
0 - 4
KAR
14%
17%
70%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DIO
1 - 4
CIG
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FUZ
0 - 2
DIO
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
DIO
0 - 1
TIS
37%
23%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PUT
0 - 2
DIO
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DIO
3 - 0
EGE
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +3 |