Karbala vs Baghdad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ZAK
2 - 1
KAR
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
KAR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
ALZ
5 - 2
KAR
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
ALT
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
KAR
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BAG
0 - 2
ALQ
27%
29%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BAG
1 - 1
ALK
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
QAS
2 - 0
BAG
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
BAG
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BAG
1 - 3
ARB
27%
29%
45%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |