Karbach vs Viktoria Herxheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
10º
9º
4
13º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAR
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
PIR
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WWO
2 - 2
KAR
58%
21%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 0
KAR
23%
20%
58%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Herxheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 3
MEC
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 0
VHE
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
1 - 2
TUS
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
2 - 1
AUE
15%
18%
68%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VHE
0 - 2
ENG
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |