Karbach vs Viktoria Herxheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+88%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
9º
23
7º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 38% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 2
KAR
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 5
KAI
14%
18%
69%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAR
47%
24%
28%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
PIR
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WWO
2 - 2
KAR
58%
21%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Herxheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 2
MOR
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 2
VHE
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 3
MEC
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 0
VHE
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
1 - 2
TUS
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |