Karbach vs Schott Mainz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
HAU
2 - 1
KAR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KAR
2 - 1
RVO
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
KAR
3 - 0
BNE
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PIR
4 - 2
KAR
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KAR
4 - 1
ARL
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 0
RVO
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ARL
3 - 1
SMA
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 3
TUS
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BNE
3 - 4
SMA
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 5
SAL
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |