Karbach vs Kaiserslautern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+117%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
10º
9º
19
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 35% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAR
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
PIR
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WWO
2 - 2
KAR
58%
21%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 0
KAR
23%
20%
58%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
6 - 1
MOR
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
5 - 6
KAI
16%
19%
66%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
5 - 0
MEC
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
KAI
39%
22%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
9 - 0
VHE
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |