Karbach vs Kaiserslautern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
9º
47
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAR
47%
24%
28%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
PIR
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WWO
2 - 2
KAR
58%
21%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 0
KAR
23%
20%
58%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
6 - 1
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
5 - 6
KAI
16%
19%
66%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
5 - 0
MEC
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
KAI
39%
22%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
9 - 0
VHE
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |