Karbach vs Diefflen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
15º
12º
55
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
51 | 51 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
42 | 42 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
30 | 30 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
20 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
KAR
6 - 1
KAI
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AUE
2 - 4
KAR
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KAR
4 - 1
MEC
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PIR
3 - 2
KAR
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
KAR
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
TUS
1 - 0
DIE
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 3
SMA
18%
20%
62%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ENG
6 - 2
DIE
39%
22%
40%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GON
8 - 0
DIE
44%
21%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
KAR
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |