Karbach vs Arminia Ludwigshafen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
10º
9º
6
10º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 0
KAR
23%
20%
58%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 1
EPP
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GON
1 - 2
KAR
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
EIS
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 0
KAR
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARL
2 - 0
MOR
52%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
ARL
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARL
2 - 1
MEC
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 0
ARL
72%
16%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 4
PFE
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |