Karabükspor vs Sakaryaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karabükspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
IST
1 - 0
KAR
53%
29%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
KAR
1 - 1
MAN
59%
26%
15%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
MSK
0 - 0
KAR
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
KAR
1 - 1
ANT
57%
27%
16%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
KOC
2 - 1
KAR
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sakaryaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
SAK
0 - 0
HAT
54%
30%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ESK
1 - 0
SAK
54%
29%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
SAK
0 - 1
MAL
52%
29%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
SAK
1 - 1
GAZ
41%
34%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
SAR
1 - 1
SAK
51%
29%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |