Karabükspor vs Kocaelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karabükspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
KAR
0 - 0
KAY
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
KAR
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
KAR
1 - 0
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ELA
2 - 2
KAR
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KAR
2 - 0
KAS
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KOC
0 - 2
ANA
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
KAY
2 - 1
KOC
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
KOC
0 - 1
AYV
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
KOC
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
OYA
4 - 0
KOC
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |