Karabükspor vs Belediye Derincespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karabükspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FET
5 - 0
KAR
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
KAR
0 - 4
KAR
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
KAR
1 - 3
KAR
17%
21%
63%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ASP
3 - 0
KAR
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
KAR
0 - 3
MOD
15%
19%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Belediye Derincespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
OFS
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MBB
3 - 1
BEL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
ERB
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
ICE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ERO
1 - 1
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |