Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Aliaga FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
14º
9º
66
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karabük İdman Yurdu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KBS
3 - 4
KIY
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUM
0 - 3
KIY
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KIY
1 - 1
AYV
8%
14%
79%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | +4 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MBB
4 - 0
KIY
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
KIY
0 - 0
BAR
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Aliaga FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 3
AFK
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFK
2 - 0
IKG
25%
21%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 1
AFK
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFK
1 - 1
KEP
9%
19%
72%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | +1 |