Kapfenberger SV vs SKN St. Polten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
7º
7º
2
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 69 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 49 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 45 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 38 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 34 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STU
1 - 2
KAP
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KAP
3 - 1
FAC
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AWM
0 - 1
KAP
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 6
KAP
12%
17%
71%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
3 - 0
FAV
83%
12%
6%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SKN
1 - 1
AMS
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SKN
0 - 0
SCA
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FAC
2 - 0
SKN
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 3
SKN
15%
19%
66%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LAS
2 - 0
SKN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |