Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 1
KAP
11%
18%
71%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
KAP
4 - 0
RBJ
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
AUS
3 - 3
KAP
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
KAP
4 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
LUS
3 - 2
KAP
34%
24%
41%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2008 |
RBJ
1 - 1
SCA
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
SCA
1 - 2
AUS
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 1
SCA
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
SCA
2 - 1
LUS
49%
24%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LBN
3 - 0
SCA
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |