Kapfenberger SV vs FAC Wien analysis

Kapfenberger SV FAC Wien
61 ELO 70
13.1% Tilt 7%
2224º General ELO ranking 1145º
27º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
30.1%
Kapfenberger SV
26.6%
Draw
43.3%
FAC Wien

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
Kapfenberger SV
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.3%
Win probability
FAC Wien
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kapfenberger SV
+2%
-9%
FAC Wien

Points and table prediction

Kapfenberger SV
Their league position
FAC Wien
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Ried
16
69
72.5%
Austria Lustenau
10
57
35.5%
Liefering
10º
5
52
14%
Admira Wacker
9
48
17%
FAC Wien
7
47
12%
First Vienna
7
46
9.5%
Rapid Wien II
10
46
4%
Kapfenberger SV
15
45
10.5%
SW Bregenz
11
38
11%
SKN St. Polten
14º
2
35
10º
9%
Stripfing
11º
5
34
11º
13.5%
SV Lafnitz
15º
2
34
12º
13%
SKU Amstetten
10
34
13º
14.5%
Horn
12º
3
33
14º
12%
Voitsberg
16º
1
24
15º
25.5%
Sturm Graz II
13º
2
23
16º
35.5%
Expected probabilities
Kapfenberger SV
FAC Wien
Promotion
0.5% 2%
Mid-table
97.5% 97%
Relegation
2% 1%

ELO progression

Kapfenberger SV
FAC Wien
Admira Wacker
Liefering
SV Lafnitz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kapfenberger SV
Kapfenberger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2024
AWM
Admira Wacker
0 - 1
Kapfenberger SV
KAP
53%
26%
22%
59 69 10 0
26 Jul. 2024
TRE
Treibach
1 - 6
Kapfenberger SV
KAP
12%
17%
71%
59 35 24 0
19 Jul. 2024
KAP
Kapfenberger SV
3 - 0
Favoritner AC
FAV
83%
12%
6%
59 37 22 0
13 Jul. 2024
GRA
Grazer AK
4 - 1
Kapfenberger SV
KAP
71%
18%
11%
59 77 18 0
05 Jul. 2024
WEI
Weiz
2 - 1
Kapfenberger SV
KAP
26%
21%
53%
59 47 12 0

Matches

FAC Wien
FAC Wien
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2024
FAC
FAC Wien
2 - 0
SKN St. Polten
SKN
43%
27%
30%
70 66 4 0
27 Jul. 2024
ASV
Siegendorf
2 - 1
FAC Wien
FAC
11%
19%
70%
70 47 23 0
19 Jul. 2024
FAC
FAC Wien
4 - 0
Union Mauer
SPO
77%
17%
7%
70 41 29 0
12 Jul. 2024
FAC
FAC Wien
1 - 1
SK Líšeň
LIS
50%
25%
26%
70 64 6 0
09 Jul. 2024
SVS
Stripfing
2 - 2
FAC Wien
FAC
27%
24%
50%
70 57 13 0
X