Kapellen-Erft vs Wulfrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
KFI
1 - 2
KAP
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KAP
0 - 3
DUS
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 0
KAP
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
KAP
2 - 0
SFB
24%
23%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JDH
0 - 1
KAP
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wulfrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
WUL
0 - 3
HAM
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HNI
4 - 3
WUL
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
WUL
2 - 2
SPE
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
UED
4 - 1
WUL
44%
24%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
WUL
2 - 0
RHE
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |