Kapellen-Erft vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DUS
1 - 1
KAP
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
KFC
4 - 0
KAP
65%
20%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
5 - 0
KAP
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
KAP
4 - 0
CRO
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
KAP
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VFB
0 - 2
SCH
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SWE
3 - 4
VFB
34%
25%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VFB
1 - 4
KFI
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
HIL
2 - 2
VFB
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VFB
4 - 0
DUS
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |