Kapellen-Erft vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
WES
2 - 4
KAP
12%
19%
70%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
KAP
3 - 1
SPE
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
RHE
1 - 1
KAP
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
KAP
3 - 1
DUS
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WUP
4 - 1
KAP
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 2
MSV
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ESS
2 - 4
VFB
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SFB
1 - 1
VFB
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 0
WES
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 2
VFB
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -1 |