Kapellen-Erft vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
64.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SON
2 - 4
KAP
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
KAP
2 - 2
BOS
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FCB
3 - 1
KAP
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
KAP
3 - 3
HIL
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
KAP
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NIE
0 - 7
VEL
8%
13%
79%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 1
SON
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BOS
1 - 3
VEL
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
FCB
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HIL
2 - 4
VEL
19%
19%
62%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |