Kapellen-Erft vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SFB
0 - 3
KAP
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BOS
5 - 3
KAP
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -3 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
DUS
2 - 0
KAP
55%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 2
KFC
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SWE
0 - 1
KAP
62%
20%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 2
MSV
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SWE
3 - 0
RWO
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
JDH
4 - 0
SWE
32%
24%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
SWE
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SWE
0 - 1
KAP
62%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |