Kapellen-Erft vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RWO
1 - 2
KAP
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
KAP
0 - 0
GRA
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
KAP
1 - 1
SON
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 1
KAP
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KAP
2 - 2
HNI
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SWE
4 - 0
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HNI
1 - 4
SWE
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 3
SPE
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UED
2 - 2
SWE
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 1
RHE
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |