Kapellen-Erft vs Jahn Hiesfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
HIL
1 - 1
KAP
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
KAP
0 - 2
SWE
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SFB
0 - 3
KAP
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BOS
5 - 3
KAP
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -3 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
DUS
2 - 0
KAP
55%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jahn Hiesfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JDH
1 - 0
MSV
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ESS
2 - 1
JDH
64%
19%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
JDH
2 - 2
VFB
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
JDH
2 - 0
SPE
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
JDH
4 - 0
SWE
32%
24%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +3 |