Kapellen-Erft vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KAP
3 - 0
HAM
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HNI
4 - 0
KAP
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SFB
2 - 2
KAP
40%
25%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 2
SPE
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
UED
1 - 2
KAP
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 1
KFI
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
DUS
3 - 0
CRO
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 6
SWE
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 1
WUP
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SFB
0 - 0
CRO
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |