KaPa vs JIPPO Joensuu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
10º
9º
43
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 52 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 45 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 22 |
9º
|
90% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 31% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
90% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TPS
5 - 3
KAP
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KER
2 - 0
KAP
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 5
KOO
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KER
4 - 0
KAP
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 4
JIP
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
JIPPO Joensuu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JIP
0 - 1
PK3
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JIP
2 - 4
MIK
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
JIP
2 - 0
TPS
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PK3
0 - 2
JIP
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 4
JIP
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |