KaPa vs FF Jaro Pietarsaari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
10º
9º
51
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 22 |
9º
|
91% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 92% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
91% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
OUL
5 - 1
KAP
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
KAP
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
KAP
0 - 1
PK3
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
KOO
2 - 1
KAP
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 1
KER
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FF Jaro Pietarsaari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
FFJ
1 - 1
KER
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FFJ
0 - 1
TPS
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FFJ
0 - 0
JAP
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
MIK
1 - 4
FFJ
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FFJ
2 - 1
PK3
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |