CONCACAF Champions Cup Last 16
Global 5-0
Sporting Kansas City vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
ARI
2 - 3
KCW
13%
20%
68%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
KCW
2 - 3
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
KCW
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
KCW
4 - 2
RSL
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
RSL
1 - 1
KCW
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
3 - 0
TOL
42%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TOL
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
TIG
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |