Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
KCW
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 1
KCW
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
KCW
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
KCW
3 - 0
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
ARI
2 - 3
KCW
13%
20%
68%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PHU
1 - 3
TOR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
DCU
1 - 2
PHU
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
PHU
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ORL
1 - 4
PHU
30%
23%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
PHU
3 - 1
BLE
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |