Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
3 - 2
DAL
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
KCW
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KCW
2 - 0
AUS
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
COC
4 - 0
KCW
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
KCW
3 - 4
RSL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Dallas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
3 - 2
DAL
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
DAL
3 - 2
POR
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DAL
0 - 1
CIN
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SES
3 - 2
DAL
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
DAL
5 - 3
MIN
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |