Sporting Kansas City vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.5%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
3.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PHU
4 - 0
KCW
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
SES
1 - 1
KCW
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
KCW
2 - 0
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
KCW
2 - 0
COR
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
KCW
3 - 2
ORL
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
DAY
4 - 0
WIL
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
ORA
1 - 0
DAY
60%
22%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
ORA
1 - 0
DAY
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
DAY
1 - 1
PIT
42%
24%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
MIC
1 - 2
DAY
76%
15%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |