Sporting Kansas City vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
1 - 1
STC
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 1
KCW
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 2
KCW
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
2 - 1
DAL
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
3 - 2
DAL
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IMI
2 - 1
CFS
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 1
CFS
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CFS
0 - 0
NYC
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 0
CFS
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
CFS
4 - 3
PHU
31%
25%
45%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |