Sporting Kansas City vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
KCW
2 - 0
COR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
DAL
1 - 0
KCW
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
KCW
1 - 0
COC
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
KCW
0 - 0
CFS
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SJE
3 - 2
KCW
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
CFS
3 - 0
RBN
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
DCU
0 - 1
CFS
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CFS
2 - 1
SAP
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CFS
0 - 2
DAL
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
SAP
2 - 0
CFS
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |