Kansas City vs Western Illinois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KCR
3 - 1
ETI
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
OMC
2 - 0
KCR
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ORB
1 - 1
KCR
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
KCR
2 - 3
ORB
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WTI
1 - 2
KCR
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Western Illinois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
WTI
2 - 1
STH
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ORB
1 - 0
WTI
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WTI
1 - 2
DEP
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ETI
2 - 1
WTI
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WTI
1 - 2
KCR
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |