Kaluga vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
KAL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KAL
3 - 1
VIT
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
SOK
2 - 1
KAL
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
KAL
2 - 0
ZVE
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 1
KAL
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 0
SPA
38%
27%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 1
MET
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
ZEN
73%
17%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 1
VIT
14%
21%
66%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SOK
1 - 0
ZEN
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |