Kaluga vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+182%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
TAM
6 - 2
KAL
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
KAL
0 - 2
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
VYB
0 - 3
KAL
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
KAL
1 - 0
POD
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 1
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
ORE
0 - 1
DIN
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
FCM
0 - 3
ORE
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
ORE
0 - 2
ZVE
15%
23%
62%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORE
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ORE
0 - 4
FAK
13%
23%
64%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |