Kaluga vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+161%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
KAL
2 - 0
MET
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 1
ZEN
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
KAL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KAL
3 - 1
VIT
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
ORE
3 - 1
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 2
ORE
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ORE
1 - 2
AVA
21%
25%
55%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORE
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ORE
1 - 1
SOK
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |